If you've got a trip to the Dominican Republic pencilled in for this weekend, pack a waterproof. The country's Emergency Operations Center (COE) has placed seven provinces plus the National District under green alert, the lowest of its three warning levels, as a cluster of weather systems stacks up to deliver several days of heavy rain.

The affected areas cover much of the country's populated heart: Greater Santo Domingo, the National District itself, San Cristóbal (especially the northern part), Monte Plata, Monseñor Nouel, San Pedro de Macorís, Hato Mayor and Sánchez Ramírez. The Dominican Institute of Meteorology (INDOMET) expects showers to intensify through the afternoon, with locally moderate downpours, thunderstorms and gusty winds in several spots.

So what's going on? A nearby trough is acting as a trigger, while moist winds flowing in from both the Caribbean Sea and the Atlantic are feeding the system with fuel. Warm regional temperatures are helping clouds build, and forecasters note the current absence of Saharan dust — which usually dries the air out — is leaving conditions extra favourable for strong rainfall. On top of that, the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay are drifting as a low-pressure area northeast of the Caribbean, pumping even more moisture into the mix.

The practical upshot for anyone on the island: forecasters warn of a higher chance of urban and flash flooding between Friday and Sunday. The COE has asked residents and visitors to steer clear of rivers, streams and ravines where water levels have risen, and to stay out of the sea, rivers, pools and swimming areas until things settle down. That last point is worth taking seriously if your weekend plans involve a beach day or a dip in a mountain river — water levels can rise fast, even when it isn't raining where you're standing.

Green alerts don't mean panic, but they do mean monitoring. If you're in Santo Domingo or the eastern and central provinces named above, keep an eye on local updates from COE and INDO MET, build some indoor flexibility into your itinerary, and expect transport delays if roads flood. travellers in Punta Cana and other resort areas further east are outside the alert zone, though conditions across the island can shift, so it pays to check the latest forecast before heading out on excursions.

The system should move on early next week, but this is a good reminder that the Dominican Republic's wet season brings short, sharp episodes of severe weather — worth factoring into any trip between May and November.